← 7th Grade Math
Math 7 U3-L7 Statistics and Data Analysis

Making Predictions

Eli's mile time drops a little every week. A graph can tell you where it's heading, and it can also tell you where it can't go.

Teacher Notes

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Lesson Goal

By the end of this lesson your student should be able to describe a trend, find the change per step, extend the trend to make a prediction, and explain when a prediction can't be trusted.

Where Students Get Stuck

๐Ÿšจ Dividing by the number of data points instead of the number of steps between them. Five weeks of data only has four steps.

Forgetting the sign. A time that is falling has a negative change, and adding it moves the prediction down.

Trusting a prediction a long way out. A trend is only a guide, and a runner can't reach a mile time of zero.

Teaching Suggestion

Have the student say the prediction as a sentence with the word about in it. A prediction is a good guess from a pattern, so it should never sound like a fact.

Key Vocabulary

Trend
The direction a set of data is heading, such as going up, going down or staying flat.
Prediction
A good guess about a value you don't have yet, made from the pattern in the data you do have.
Extend
To keep a pattern going past the data you have, by adding the same change again.
Change per step
How much the data goes up or down from one step to the next.
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Before You Start

The Words

The words this lesson uses. Tap a card to see what it means, then come back to them whenever a question uses one.

Part One

The Questions

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Questions about the story you just read. Pick your answer straight off, or press Find it in the story if you would rather hunt for the sentence first.

Part Two

Vocabulary Check

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The word cards are at the top of this page. Look back at them as often as you need, then answer.

When you finish: write the answers out in your own words — not copied word for word from the choices. Saying it your own way is the part that proves you understood it. Then use Print Answer Sheet for a one-page record of what was answered and scored.
Open The Homework SheetDo it on screen or print it. Your score shows here once you check it.